Tuesday, April 3, 2012

The Future of Conservativism And America

I've written several blogs over the past year that have covered the topic of "Today's GOP". I'll try not to retread ground that I've covered before.

I was reading this article by Jonathan Chait (left leaning writer/blogger). It's subject deals with how GOP and Democrat's presidential campaigns will frame the economic debate this fall, and the strengths and weaknesses of both. I doubt this was his intended effect, but the article left be feeling very depressed. Here's the reason why:
"The Republican strategy has real strengths. The party’s sheer bloody-minded refusal to compromise, and its devotion to ever more radical policy agendas, has helped it to shift the terms of the debate steadily rightward. Even keeping tax rates at Clinton-era levels is now a position too left-wing for Democrats to advocate."

I believe that this statement is true. The Republican strategy has been successful in reframing the debate further right.  And while I believe that Obama's probable counter-strategy of showing himself as a centrist probably does have the virtue of being true (if you take politics as a whole for the last 20 years into account), I'm not so sure it's going to work. Maybe for him the in general election, by not too wide of a margin. But probably not for Democrats in Congress.

If that is indeed how it plays out this November, what does it mean for politics? It means that while there's no guarantee that you'll win every election, your party has a better chance of sustaining power if they: 
  • Entrench deeply on ideology.
  • Refuse to compromise on policy.
  • Hold your opposition in public contempt.
  • Accuse your opposition of being radicals, regardless of the policy proposals on the table.
  • Consistently lie about what is being said, and what the facts of the matter actually are.
 Finally, and most importantly:
  • Never acknowledge or apologize for any of the above.
It's not so much that liars aren't going to be punished, as they should. I can cope with that. The real worry, for me, is that this will make a good precedent for politicians in the future.
 
The life of every politician is a mix of governing and planting the seeds for the next reelection cycle. Hopefully more of the former than the latter. But if you have a base group of supporters, even if it's a minority, you can use this strategy to keep enough of the poorly informed middle of society to keep yourself in power, with little to no effort made at actually governing.
 
Governing requires some level of cooperation and compromise, if you want to get things done. But keeping public perception skewed off center lets you appear to be attempting governance, when really that's not the case at all. This is really bad.
 
I doubt that the Democrats could attempt such a strategy. Radical leftists are too few; the coalition of the Democratic party is spread too thin. But it appears to be fitting the Republicans like a glove. While that's good for party politicians, it's certainly bad for the country. We need practical decisions, and practical solutions. This strategy grinds government to a halt.
 
If you need evidence, look to the attempts by Congress to pass budget reform. GOP politicians fear being ousted by Tea Party activists if they make concessions. So, as a result, they'll only vote for budget cuts any measure must include tax cuts. Democrats are willing to give in for some of those ideas, but they want all options on the table, including raising taxes on the rich. But since Republicans refuse under any circumstances to raise taxes, the effort is essentially dead.*
 
Assigning Blame
 
It's my belief that the political climate as a whole is responsible for allowing this to happen. So in a sense, none of us are responsible and all of us are. To be more specific, I believe it's the commonly accepted notion that all political arguments boil down to "he said, she said" bickering, with both sides being equally culpable for the sad state of Congress.
 
In other words, cynicism. This is being fueled by a cynical (I might even say, post-modern) attitude to truth in politics. "All politicians are cheats and liars", "The media is too liberal", all of that contributes to the idea (perhaps subconscious) that truth is never a relevant factor in modern politics. Or that, to determine the truth you take the left and right wing positions, and find a median between the two. Sure, that's an easy way to appear moderate, but it's not a good way of getting at the truth.
 
Positions and dogma of The Left and The Right are both completely arbatrary points in a vast political plane. They aren't fixed cornerstones; in fact they change all the time. It's easy to forget that.
 
Each election, the country alternates back and forth between these two options presented to us, but we hopefully choose between them based on facts. Either the economy is doing better, or it's getting worse. Tax cuts either help that or hurt it. That's not an endorsement or rejection of ideology - it's just truth. It makes no sense, and does no good to insist that the media treat both positions with kid-gloves when they either work or don't. But that's exactly what's going on. Both sides are presented as equally valid, because the most serious media outlets are afraid of being of labeled as "biased". That is not not the right way to go.
 
I know that to right-leaning ears, I'm sounding biased myself. I'll freely admit that both parties, at various times in the past, have manipulated and distorted facts. Absolutely true. But before, it was something that they could be called out for and exposed. Now, you can just deny, deny, deny and create your own proprietary version of reality. I'm sorry, but honestly what I'm seeing right now is the Right deliberately exploiting this cynical attitude to the truth in order to move the goal-posts in their own favor. And this does nobody any good. Certainly not the country, and not conservative policy either. **
 

 

 * I anticipate a challenge over which side is being reasonable (if any) when it comes to the budget showdown. That's perfectly fine. I stated some things matter-of-factly without really making an argument. I did that because I didn't want to detour from the general flow of this blog by stacking arguments. But if anyone wants to broach it in the comments, I'm game for a discussion.

** I've been gathering notes for the past couple of months for a blog on MY definition of conservativism. What it is in essence, what I'd like to see it return to. I don't know when I'm going to start writing it, but I'm going to try to make it my big project for this year (what with the election). I'm thinking of preceding it by two polemics. One against libertarianism, describing the flaws in that ideology. Another listing the classic complaints against modern liberalism, and the necessity of a conservative alterative. I'm not 100% sure that I'll do the polemics, or when I'll release them. The main blog I'll probably aim for in the summer or early fall.

8 comments:

  1. The idea of a central media does bother me. Not an unbiased one, but forcibly centrist.

    We're not dealing with arguably un-ascertainable issues when talking about some political ideas. On some, small gov't vs. big gov't etc., yes it's only right to report down the middle, and not take a stand.

    But on specific issues, there is a right and a wrong and when the reporter knows what it is, he has a duty to report that too. Of course then you run into a lot of danger zones.

    I think that's the idea that we see on cable news, where they essentially do take sides, and that's not working out either.

    More to come.

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  2. The right is certainly exploiting that deny, deny, deny method more than their opponents. There's no defending that position and anyone who says there is, is deluding themselves a little bit.

    That doesn't mean I oppose many of the same principles that these candidates allege, but it means I have to oppose them. I don't see this as much from Romney. When he flips on an issue, he at least acknowledges it.

    And again, while I believe the right to be worse about this right now, I do think it happens on both sides on a massive scale. I think it's a sad reflection on our sad society. I'm angry now and I'm going to go make a facebook status.

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  3. "I don't see this as much from Romney. When he flips on an issue, he at least acknowledges it."

    Does he? I know he's had to explain his flip over Romneycare, but he didn't really have any choice but to confront that. I can't back this up with a list of incidents (at least not right now), but I've seen Romney giving some pretty big fibs over the past few months. Including some that were just blatently, demonstratably untrue.

    But every candidate fudges the facts, regardless of the party they belong to. I think you follow me, but I feel like not really writing well enough the difference between "common" political lies, and the ones that I'm especially targeting here.

    At a risk of putting too fine a point on it, the main thing - to me - is the central theme among Conservative commentators, media people, and politicians, that Obama is a subversive, unamerican radical who has... sort of... usurped power, in some illegitimate way. That, to me, is the "big lie" that's really messing with perception of reality. And Mitt's certainly contributed to that (basically all non-Paul candidates have, it's a prereq for being a GOP candidate).

    To a lesser extent, I see leftists as getting the ball rolling on that, after Bush II's election in 2000. They didn't just criticize him, they portrayed him as illegitimate. Because of the closeness of that race. And later because of 9/11, the Iraq war, etc.

    With the leftists, it was all a lack of trust fueling anti-authority/protest arguments. They would say stuff that was kind of unfair, like "No blood for oil" (accusing the president of pursuing war because of avarice), but not falsifiable untrue. Just a matter of opinion. Unfair, but not necessarily a lie.

    On the other hand, check out this recent example of Right wing questioning of legitimacy.

    http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/323901/20120404/heather-childers-fox-obama-clinton-murder-twitter.htm

    Here's a journalist (not a protestor, musician or hollywood actor) suggesting that Obama threatened murder to get his nomination. And completely unrepentent when the incident is exposed. This kind of thing happens all the time. Most of us probably feel it's not even worth calling it out, it happens so often.

    I'm not angry at anyone reading this, because it doesn't apply. But it bugs me when people feel they have to equate examples like that with left-wing opposites, in order to look "moderate" in front of others. If an incident like this happened on NPR, the person would have been fired within minutes.

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  4. Wow...that does deserve calling out, that link I mean.

    One of the problems of a free press is that when a free press struggles, it starts operating far more as a business than as a reporting agency. That's not new, and yes they have always been a business first, but now, they really are just about the crazy.

    I don't know how to fix it. What we need, I guess, is right wing and left wing billionaire to come together and fund a network that will be run solely as a journalistic institution, but even that....I dunno.

    The right is worse, no doubt about it on this issue. We've taken the axiom of "Oh well, politicians lie" to the point that we no longer expect any truth. It's a mess.

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  5. Agreed on all points.

    I'm not really sure the way out either. The incentives seem to be in all the wrong places. Even if some billionaires got together to make "just the facts" news network, I'm afraid that it would perform much worse than FNC or MSNBC. I don't know. I put my hopes in our generation, I guess. Despite our various problems, we're a lot more even keeled than our Baby Boomer and Gen X predecessors. Gonna make a sandwich and watch the 2nd half of Godfather Pt II.

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  6. I sympathize with a lot of what you say. I think that things will only change when the public demands it. But when will they demand it? Only when it is too late and the system has collapsed? I often worry that it will take a complete collapse of the system, or something close, to snap people out of their slumber. But crises don't actually make people smarter - they make them dumber. I think that the only option is to be an activist - talk, blog, protest, etc. Present people with good analyses of the situation, like you did, and remind them that change is possible. Remind them of the alternatives. Stay positive; don't get too partisan yourself. I think that this is the only way to do it. If enough people follow suit, we might just be able to change the political culture of this country. If not, well, make sure you get in a lot of X-Box playing before all hell breaks loose.

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  7. Hi Leslie -
    I like your point about crises making people dumber. It's probably true.

    Which is the stronger force, attraction or revulsion? Love or hate? If the latter, I'm afraid the situation is hopeless. If the former, then a "lead by example" strategy of activism has some hope.

    It takes very little effort or sacrifice to react to hate. People watch scumbags on Jerry Springer, Jersey Shore and Pols on cable news because they can feel superior, effortlessly. They can even afford to slide down a few levels, while still feeling superior. However, to look up to someone who is intelligent, knowledgable and virtuous compells you to emulate. Emulating means effort. Picking up a book, analyzing yourself, or at least thinking an idea all the way through. Not as immediately gratifying.

    I do think there's something "addicting" about an upright attitude though. It's not all a slow decay. I mean, all of us actively write on blogs dedicated (in one respect or another) to discovering truth, and "walking the path", so to speak. There's some sort of gratification, or greater level of happiness there. Otherwise we would have given up and returned to the pile of dry-humping reality show idolators...

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  8. I think that you made a very important point here. There is something that feels good about doing the right thing, and anyone who wants to see things improve in society needs to find a way to target that feeling. So, why don't people do what's right more often, or act reasonably more often? In politics at least, I think that the reason is because people catastrophize the political process. They think that society is going to crumble unless their guy wins. Once you start thinking like that, the fear will do some terrible things to your mind. So, people not to get over their fear. And they also need to feel that it is in their power to do something good, and that it will make a difference. I suspect that without these three things, many people will continue acting like fools. Problem is, this things aren't easy to come by. They take a lot of maturity and guts, something our country sorely lacks. Alright, we need some more positive topics.

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