Sunday, February 27, 2011

On Populist Uprisings

In response to the events in north Africa and the Middle East, I recently wrote this:

"I would agree with the notion that we can't be sure what kind of government these unwashed masses would choose to put in place of the old regime, so caution is warranted. US interests may not be served by what's going on. But for people in our position, who value democracy, isn't this inherently good, even if the consequences may hurt us (the west) down the road?



Don't we, who love freedom, have a duty to support the ending of autocratic governments, regardless of cultural context? Isn't that thing, in and of itself, good? Shouldn't we be sympathetic to those who have been deprived for so long of what we have enjoyed for so long?"

When I wrote this, I really only half believed what I was suggesting. I presupposed that everyone in the conversation (myself included) considered democracy to be inherently good. With that assumption in mind, it naturally followed that democratic actions are inherently good. This was all for the sake of simplicity. However, is it safe to assume that democracy is inherently good?
 
On closer inspection, I would say "probably not". I speak for myself in this matter, but I don't believe that we value democracy because it is purely and absolutely good, in and of itself. It's a pragmatic thing. The government is best which governs best - that is, which rules efficiently and in the best interest of the general welfare. Democracy is certainly not "optimal". For whatever advantages are present, there are disadvantages and risks too. To quote Churchill (I think) democracy is generally the "least worst" option currently known to us. From a practical perspective, a benevolent dictatorship has it all over a democratic system - at least in the short term.
 
Proceeding from this different assumption about democracy, how can we judge these uprisings at this early stage? Iraq is an often cited example of failed nationbuilding, it's clear that the government there is really struggling. If someone were to argue that the people of Iraq would have been better off under Saddam Hussein, such an argument might have merit. Which is worse, the organized violence of a tyrant, or the disorganized violence of a failed state?
 
On the other hand, it doesn't seem right to judge the value of actions solely based on consequences, gathered years or even decades after the fact. The priorities of these people seem to be geared toward greater personal liberty, and they're using the best means available to them to acheive these goals. Isn't that all we can ask?
 
Worthy of consideration at any rate.

7 comments:

  1. I don't think anyone who bothers to reflect on the topic really believes that democracy is inherently good. It is merely the best, sustainable option.

    I can't fault the actions of the current populist uprisings. They are simply asserting their desires for greater personal liberty.

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  2. Democracy is ugly and foul. Thing is as you've both noted it's just our only real shot at a quasi-fair governing system.

    Iraq is definitely a failure of nation building, but I don't think the middle east or Africa can be considered fair places to judge that sort of thing.

    The people (until the last week or so) seem to be predisposed to dictators and kings. Also, unlike Euro-American revolutions where there were generally two main sides, in the middle east you have all kinds of factions battling for control which makes starting a new nation very hard.

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  3. What I'm really driving at here is that it's difficult to judge the value of this thing, by any means of measurement. If we are idealistic (I'm thinking of Bush II) about democracy, then we must consider it good, regardless of any horrifying consequences down the road. Likewise, if we take the pragmatic approach we must hold back our judgement for a very long time (which pretty much eliminates the point of judging altogether, if we have to wait for decades to see how it unfolds).

    Blending the two approaches doesn't seem like it would yield any valuable conclusions either. Maybe the answer is not to judge the situation at all, at least not on moral grounds.

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  4. "Maybe the answer is not to judge the situation at all, at least not on moral grounds."

    I call bullshit on myself for this comment. This is basically an ellipses for the conversation, which is both lazy and dishonest.

    Yes, it is relevant to have a means to judge on the grounds of what is moral (concerning value), and yes it is important to pursue that means of judgement, even if the answer isn't immediately clear.

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  5. Agreed but I don't think withholding judgment for a time is bad.

    In the interim we can judge aspects such as:

    1. Tyrants are being ousted from power, which is good, even if we don't yet know what will replace them.

    2. The people of the region are awakening and acknowledging the need for their role in governance and are taking action on it, which is a good thing.

    3. Despite winning in some of these cases, civil unrest continues and they may not know when to stop, which could be a bad thing.

    4. Fundamentalist groups have an organizational structure that can assist them in filling the power vacuum, which is bad.

    That's just off the top of my head but I'm sure there are many more factors to consider.

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  6. What? I thought I finally made a thought out point here.

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